UTEP vs. New Mexico State odds, line: 2021 college football picks, predictions from model on 56-37 run
SportsLine’s advanced computer model has revealed its college football picks for New Mexico State vs. UTEP on Saturday
The New Mexico State Aggies were on the football field fairly recently, taking part in two fully-sanctioned games during the spring 2021 season. However, it has been a long time since the Aggies have faced an FBS opponent, and that drought ends on Saturday. New Mexico State welcomes the UTEP Miners to Las Cruces for the 2021 season opener on both sides. UTEP finished 3-5 during the abbreviated 2020 campaign.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Miners as 10-point road favorites for this 9:30 p.m. ET start. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 56.5 in the latest UTEP vs. New Mexico State odds. Before locking in any New Mexico State vs. UTEP picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. For the 2020 season, it went 56-37 on all top-rated picks and returned over $1,200 on its top-rated spread and over-under picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on UTEP vs. New Mexico State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for New Mexico State vs. UTEP
Why UTEP can cover
This is a very favorable matchup for UTEP, even on the road. New Mexico State was shaky in two games against FCS opponents earlier this year, including a 43-17 drubbing at the hands of Tarleton State. The Aggies allowed more than 1,000 total yards to those FCS foes, and they are replacing a boatload of production from a team that struggled to a 2-10 record in 2019. On the UTEP side, there is a lot of talent returning, including the team’s top two receivers, starting quarterback and two top-flight running backs.
Jacob Cowing generated 16.9 yards per reception to lead the team with 691 receiving yards in just eight games last season, and the duo of Deion Hankins and Quardraiz Wadley should be able to move the ball. In fact, New Mexico State’s rushing defense yielded more than five yards per tote in the spring, and UTEP should run the ball with confidence on Saturday.
Why New Mexico State can cover
While it was a short campaign, New Mexico State has the advantage of cohesion after playing in the spring. That may be a small thing but, when adding in home-field advantage and some tangible strengths, the Aggies are in a strong position. New Mexico State is physical, and the Aggies might have the best player on the field in Sage Doxtater. Doxtater is a tremendous offensive tackle, earning a top-round draft slot in the CFL before his final college season, and he is a fixture for New Mexico State.
The Aggies also have an Ole Miss transfer in Eli Johnson, who started 12 games for the Rebels in 2019, and Michigan transfer O’Maury Samuels adds to an already deep and talented stable of running backs. On the outside, JUCO transfer Terrell Warner led the team with eight catches in the spring, and Jonah Johnson brings talent and size (6’3, 235 pounds) at the quarterback position. Defensively, Trevor Brohard leads a group that does have a lot of question marks, but defensive back Devlin Kirklin added 14 tackles in the two spring games, leading to optimism on the backend.
How to make New Mexico State vs. UTEP picks
SportsLine’s model has a slight lean to the over on the total. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UTEP vs. New Mexico State? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the New Mexico State vs. UTEP spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.